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Red175
473221.9
205661.8
201337.6
Blue58
614011.5
61038.1
50947.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10355015020017558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.84.2
47.751.9
Auto18.8
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 23.7
610
#8
38.10.2
30.730.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.8
End7.9
Second
37.64.2
30.835.0
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
red by 26.1
6140
#43
11.50.2
17.917.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Third
4732
#27
21.94.2
14.118.2
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End4.5
red by 14.7
5094
#49
7.20.2
11.010.8
Auto0.4
Teleop6.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed