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Red61
430822.9
218520.4
293527.5
Blue55
558015.0
154726.6
74623.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557101001502006155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#23
27.50.6
22.022.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 0.9
1547
#26
26.60.8
24.423.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
Second
4308
#25
22.90.6
15.215.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
blue by 1.0
746
#14
23.91.3
22.521.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Third
2185
#30
20.40.6
18.318.9
Auto1.8
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 5.4
5580
#38
15.01.3
19.618.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed