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Qual 222016 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red97
559624.2
434322.4
311730.2
Blue65
461830.3
354113.5
497628.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726202040801001201401609765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#28
30.22.6
27.6→30.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.1
End6.4
blue by 0.1
4618
#11
30.30.3
23.7→24.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End6.1
Second
5596
#29
24.22.6
17.6→20.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End6.2
blue by 3.8
4976
#9
28.00.3
23.4→23.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Third
4343
#33
22.42.6
23.6→26.2
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 8.9
3541
#45
13.50.3
15.0→15.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed