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Red65
132530.0
401513.0
473221.9
Blue63
607012.3
154726.6
107520.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705601001502006563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.1
29.729.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 3.4
1547
#26
26.60.2
23.723.4
Auto10.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
Second
4732
#27
21.90.1
18.218.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End4.5
red by 1.3
1075
#16
20.60.4
17.316.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
4015
#37
13.00.1
17.817.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End-0.5
red by 0.7
6070
#41
12.30.4
15.715.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed