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Red67
61038.1
470420.6
311730.2
Blue70
559624.2
128520.2
371021.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81630501001506770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#8
38.11.0
30.529.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.8
End7.9
red by 13.9
5596
#29
24.21.6
20.218.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End6.2
Second
3117
#28
30.21.0
30.129.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 8.8
3710
#31
21.51.6
16.414.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
4704
#22
20.61.0
15.114.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End4.2
red by 0.4
1285
#34
20.21.6
27.425.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed