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Red52
201337.6
219813.7
218520.4
Blue83
29628.3
612524.6
470420.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73530204060801001201401605283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.8
36.634.9
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
red by 9.3
296
#15
28.31.4
23.124.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End6.1
Second
2185
#30
20.41.8
17.315.5
Auto1.8
Teleop14.7
End3.9
blue by 4.2
6125
#21
24.61.7
20.021.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End4.2
Third
2198
#42
13.71.8
14.112.3
Auto0.2
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 6.9
4704
#22
20.61.7
14.215.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed