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Red99
371021.5
61038.1
461830.3
Blue74
74623.9
503125.4
222824.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69740501001509974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#8
38.13.5
29.533.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.8
End7.9
red by 12.7
5031
#19
25.40.3
22.222.5
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
4618
#11
30.33.5
22.926.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End6.1
red by 5.9
2228
#17
24.40.3
26.026.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Third
3710
#31
21.53.5
14.818.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 2.5
746
#14
23.90.3
22.923.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed