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Red100
154726.6
263424.8
111451.1
Blue82
604615.5
371021.5
201337.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8757010015010082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.6
42.243.8
Auto16.8
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 13.5
37.62.4
25.527.9
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Second
1547
#26
26.61.2
22.123.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
red by 5.1
3710
#31
21.52.4
18.921.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
2634
#35
24.81.6
16.117.7
Auto11.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 9.3
6046
#48
15.52.9
21.018.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed