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Red47
607012.3
128520.2
478323.8
Blue65
130538.7
218520.4
497628.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53660204060801001204765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4783
#13
23.80.7
16.215.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
blue by 14.9
1305
#10
38.70.2
23.022.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.4
End5.5
Second
1285
#34
20.20.7
21.821.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3
blue by 7.8
28.00.2
21.221.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Third
6070
#41
12.31.3
16.214.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End-0.1
blue by 8.1
2185
#30
20.40.2
17.817.6
Auto1.8
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed