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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Waterloo Regional
Red165
467848.9
128534.4
503321.7
Blue158
403944.1
461835.2
373922.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14313180100120160180200220165158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
48.90.1
49.4→49.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
red by 4.8
4039
#9
44.10.1
44.0→44.2
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
1285
#5
34.40.1
34.9→35.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
blue by 0.8
4618
#7
35.20.1
35.1→35.3
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
5033
#17
21.70.1
22.2→22.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
blue by 0.9
3739
#18
22.60.1
22.5→22.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3