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Red147
14862.0
368348.3
503219.7
Blue197
61048.9
124162.1
356021.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163169100150200250147197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#8
62.00.0
61.361.3
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
Level
62.10.5
60.360.7
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
Second
48.30.0
47.547.5
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
blue by 0.6
610
#11
48.90.5
47.147.5
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Third
5032
#19
19.70.0
19.019.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
blue by 1.3
3560
#27
21.00.5
19.219.7
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7