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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Waterloo Regional
Red118
467848.9
128534.4
503321.7
Blue151
403944.1
461835.2
373922.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413150100200250118151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
48.90.3
49.5→49.2
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
red by 4.8
4039
#9
44.10.1
44.2→44.3
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
1285
#5
34.40.3
35.0→34.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
blue by 0.8
4618
#7
35.20.1
35.3→35.4
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
5033
#17
21.70.3
22.3→22.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
blue by 0.9
3739
#18
22.60.1
22.6→22.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3