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Red53
270237.1
548318.0
493923.6
Blue132
467848.9
563126.9
494030.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677140608010012053132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#15
37.11.4
25.123.8
Auto11.2
Teleop19.4
End6.5
blue by 11.8
48.97.0
30.137.1
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
Second
4939
#25
23.60.9
22.821.8
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
blue by 6.5
4940
#14
30.27.0
20.627.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Third
5483
#21
18.01.4
17.516.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 8.8
5631
#13
26.97.0
17.924.9
Auto10.6
Teleop12.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned