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Red139
403944.1
111456.0
452523.7
Blue165
373922.6
14862.0
124162.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714150100150200139165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.01.1
52.153.2
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
blue by 6.1
62.12.1
54.456.5
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
Second
44.11.2
42.744.0
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
blue by 17.9
148
#8
62.02.1
60.862.9
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
Third
4525
#24
23.71.1
22.523.6
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End5.3
red by 1.2
3739
#18
22.63.5
18.221.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned30%Capture oddsEarned