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Qual 172016 Waterloo Regional
Red89
373922.6
494324.3
540640.9
Blue95
491734.7
494030.2
394920.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85780501001508995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#10
40.90.2
37.3→37.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
red by 6.3
4917
#12
34.71.2
29.9→31.1
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
Second
4943
#22
24.30.3
22.4→22.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End3.6
blue by 5.8
4940
#14
30.22.1
27.7→29.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Third
3739
#18
22.60.3
21.7→21.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
red by 1.8
3949
#29
20.82.1
19.0→21.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed