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Qual 182016 Waterloo Regional
Red111
551913.9
452523.7
61048.9
Blue160
111456.0
124162.1
548318.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7114050100150200111160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#11
48.91.8
41.3→43.1
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
blue by 13.2
1241
#4
62.11.9
56.5→58.5
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
Second
4525
#24
23.71.8
23.6→25.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End5.3
blue by 32.3
1114
#1
56.01.9
53.2→55.1
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
Third
5519
#30
13.92.9
14.6→17.5
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 4.2
5483
#21
18.03.2
16.1→19.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsEarned