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Qual 192016 Waterloo Regional
Red149
467848.9
128534.4
14862.0
Blue101
503321.7
503219.7
368348.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1467750100200250149101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#8
62.01.2
62.9→64.1
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
red by 13.8
3683
#3
48.31.1
48.3→49.4
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
Second
4678
#6
48.92.0
37.1→39.1
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
red by 27.2
5033
#17
21.71.8
18.6→20.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
Third
1285
#5
34.41.2
31.2→32.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
red by 14.7
5032
#19
19.71.8
17.9→19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned