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Red114
551913.9
124162.1
494324.3
Blue147
540640.9
111456.0
467848.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9414350200114147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.11.0
58.559.5
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
red by 6.1
56.01.0
55.156.1
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
Second
4943
#22
24.31.7
22.724.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End3.6
blue by 24.6
48.91.7
39.140.8
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
Third
5519
#30
13.91.7
17.519.2
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 27.0
5406
#10
40.91.0
37.538.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsEarned