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Red90
491734.7
591223.4
373922.6
Blue113
61048.9
461835.2
270237.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691085015090113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#12
34.70.8
31.132.0
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
blue by 14.2
610
#11
48.91.0
43.144.1
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Second
5912
#26
23.41.4
19.420.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
blue by 13.7
2702
#15
37.11.6
24.426.0
Auto11.2
Teleop19.4
End6.5
Third
3739
#18
22.61.4
21.923.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 12.7
35.21.0
31.232.1
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned