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Red63
551913.9
491734.7
493923.6
Blue68
591223.4
136021.1
394920.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775820401001201406368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#12
34.70.6
32.031.4
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
red by 11.2
5912
#26
23.40.4
20.821.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
4939
#25
23.60.6
20.620.1
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 2.5
1360
#16
21.10.4
17.618.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
5519
#30
13.91.0
19.218.3
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 6.9
3949
#29
20.80.4
21.121.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed