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Red136
403944.1
368348.3
128534.4
Blue97
515818.9
316114.3
467848.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1396705010015020013697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.1
49.049.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
blue by 0.6
48.90.7
40.841.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
Second
44.10.1
43.543.7
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 25.2
5158
#23
18.90.7
19.220.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Third
34.40.1
31.531.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
red by 20.1
3161
#28
14.30.7
15.416.1
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
32%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed