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Qual 362016 Waterloo Regional
Red129
270237.1
467848.9
591223.4
Blue126
128534.4
205660.4
394920.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95126406080140160180200129126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
48.93.3
41.8→45.1
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
blue by 11.5
2056
#2
60.40.5
65.3→65.8
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
Second
2702
#15
37.13.3
32.4→35.7
Auto11.2
Teleop19.4
End6.5
red by 2.7
1285
#5
34.40.5
33.0→33.5
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
Third
5912
#26
23.43.3
23.1→26.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 2.6
3949
#29
20.80.9
20.1→20.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsMissed