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Red68
551913.9
503219.7
368348.3
Blue53
515818.9
494324.3
493923.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836320401001206853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.0
48.647.6
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
red by 23.9
4943
#22
24.31.2
24.022.8
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End3.6
Second
5032
#19
19.71.7
14.212.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
blue by 3.9
4939
#25
23.60.8
21.821.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
5519
#30
13.91.7
15.213.6
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 5.1
5158
#23DQ
18.91.3
18.617.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed