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Qual 382016 Waterloo Regional
Red142
61048.9
136021.1
124162.1
Blue87
14862.0
373922.6
461835.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271269010011012013014015014287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#4
62.10.6
57.6→58.2
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
Level
148
#8
62.02.4
64.6→62.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
Second
610
#11
48.90.6
44.8→45.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
red by 13.6
4618
#7
35.22.4
32.9→30.5
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
1360
#16
21.11.0
20.3→21.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 1.4
3739
#18
22.63.7
25.2→21.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsEarned46%Capture oddsMissed