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Qual 432016 Waterloo Regional
Red119
205660.4
403944.1
551913.9
Blue135
14862.0
563126.9
491734.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812050100150200119135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#2
60.40.3
65.8→65.5
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
blue by 1.6
148
#8
62.00.8
62.2→63.0
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
Second
4039
#9
44.10.3
43.9→43.7
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 9.5
4917
#12
34.70.8
30.5→31.3
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
Third
5519
#30
13.90.4
13.6→13.1
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 13.0
5631
#13
26.91.2
25.2→26.4
Auto10.6
Teleop12.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsMissed