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Qual 482016 Waterloo Regional
Red120
494030.2
111456.0
136021.1
Blue104
467848.9
548318.0
61048.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106112406080120140160180120104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#1
56.01.1
57.7→58.7
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
red by 7.1
4678
#6
48.90.8
46.3→45.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
Second
4940
#14
30.21.4
26.8→28.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
blue by 18.7
610
#11
48.90.6
45.3→44.6
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Third
1360
#16
21.11.4
19.5→20.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8
red by 3.1
5483
#21
18.00.8
16.6→15.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned