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Red117
563126.9
14862.0
461835.2
Blue75
86524.6
591223.4
551913.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13854010015020011775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#8
62.00.6
63.062.4
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
red by 37.4
865
#20
24.60.3
26.226.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Second
35.20.6
31.831.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
red by 11.8
5912
#26
23.40.4
25.826.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Third
5631
#13
26.90.8
26.425.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.4
End3.8
red by 13.0
5519
#30
13.90.5
13.113.6
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
57%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed