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Red64
493923.6
503219.7
356021.0
Blue119
494030.2
452523.7
205660.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45114010015020064119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4939
#25
23.60.5
20.420.8
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
blue by 36.8
60.40.7
61.862.4
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
Second
3560
#27
21.00.6
16.817.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7
blue by 9.1
4940
#14
30.20.9
18.119.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Third
5032
#19
19.70.6
16.417.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
blue by 4.0
4525
#24
23.70.7
21.021.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed