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Qual 42016 Waterloo Regional
Red114
461835.2
128534.4
591223.4
Blue110
540640.9
136021.1
403944.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739520406080120140160114110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#7
35.22.4
30.3→32.8
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
blue by 8.9
4039
#9
44.11.4
39.0→40.4
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
1285
#5
34.42.0
28.1→30.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
blue by 6.5
5406
#10
40.91.2
34.5→35.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
Third
5912
#26
23.44.6
23.5→19.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 2.3
1360
#16
21.111.1
28.5→17.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned