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Qual 32016 Waterloo Regional
Red90
316114.3
14862.0
548318.0
Blue95
515818.9
124162.1
394920.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102884060801201401609095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#8
62.00.5
60.8→60.3
Auto14.4
Teleop36.8
End10.9
Level
1241
#4
62.10.2
53.0→53.1
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
Second
5483
#21
18.00.8
16.1→15.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 2.8
3949
#29
20.80.3
17.2→17.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Third
3161
#28
14.30.8
20.0→19.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 4.7
5158
#23
18.90.3
17.5→17.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed