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Red135
491734.7
124162.1
403944.1
Blue99
503219.7
540640.9
494030.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152725010020013599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.4
58.357.9
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
red by 21.2
5406
#10
40.91.1
38.439.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
Second
44.10.4
44.444.0
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 14.0
4940
#14
30.21.4
28.229.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Third
4917
#12
34.70.4
33.332.9
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
red by 14.9
5032
#19
19.71.5
15.517.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
64%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed