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Red120
515818.9
111456.0
503321.7
Blue50
373922.6
548318.0
356021.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10953020408010012014016012050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.8
58.759.6
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
red by 33.4
3739
#18
22.60.8
24.023.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Second
5033
#17
21.71.0
21.522.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
red by 0.7
3560
#27
21.00.7
17.817.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7
Third
5158
#23
18.91.0
17.118.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.4
red by 0.9
5483
#21
18.00.7
18.117.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
30%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed