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Red69
86524.6
494324.3
394920.8
Blue133
61048.9
128534.4
403944.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6413505010015069133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#20
24.60.2
24.424.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 24.3
610
#11
48.90.5
43.943.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Second
4943
#22
24.30.3
26.025.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End3.6
blue by 19.8
44.10.5
44.043.5
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Third
3949
#29
20.80.3
22.422.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 13.6
34.40.5
33.032.5
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed67%Capture oddsMissed