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Red138
124162.1
540640.9
356021.0
Blue140
467848.9
491734.7
368348.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11513880100160180200138140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.9
58.259.0
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
red by 13.2
48.90.3
49.149.4
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
Second
5406
#10
40.90.9
39.940.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
blue by 7.4
48.30.3
47.547.8
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
Third
3560
#27
21.00.9
17.118.0
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7
blue by 13.6
4917
#12
34.70.3
34.234.5
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
44%Capture oddsEarned59%Capture oddsMissed