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Qual 622016 Waterloo Regional
Red86
494030.2
503321.7
270237.1
Blue96
503219.7
403944.1
591223.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9389204060801201401601808696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#15
37.10.3
37.7→37.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.4
End6.5
blue by 7.0
4039
#9
44.10.6
43.5→44.0
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
4940
#14
30.20.3
29.9→29.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
red by 6.7
5912
#26
23.40.7
25.2→25.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Third
5033
#17
21.70.3
22.5→22.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
red by 1.9
5032
#19
19.70.7
18.6→19.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed