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Qual 632016 Waterloo Regional
Red102
373922.6
316114.3
205660.4
Blue45
394920.8
551913.9
452523.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135520408010014016018010245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#2
60.40.6
63.4→62.8
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
red by 36.7
4525
#24
23.71.1
24.6→23.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Second
3739
#18
22.60.7
23.2→22.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
red by 1.8
3949
#29
20.81.2
22.1→20.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Third
3161
#28
14.30.6
14.9→14.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 0.4
5519
#30
13.91.2
15.1→13.9
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed