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Red122
205660.4
111456.0
591223.4
Blue150
403944.1
461835.2
373922.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19812250100150250122150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.9
62.061.0
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
red by 16.3
44.10.0
44.444.5
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
56.00.9
57.656.6
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
red by 20.8
35.20.0
35.535.6
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
5912
#26
23.40.9
25.024.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 0.9
3739
#18
22.60.0
22.922.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3