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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Waterloo Regional
Red141
205660.4
111456.0
591223.4
Blue104
136021.1
494030.2
493923.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21169050100150250300350141104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#2
60.40.8
62.8→62.0
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
red by 30.2
4940
#14
30.20.2
29.9→30.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Second
1114
#1
56.00.8
58.4→57.6
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
red by 32.4
4939
#25
23.60.2
23.4→23.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
5912
#26
23.40.8
25.8→25.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 2.3
1360
#16
21.10.2
20.9→21.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8