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Semifinal 1-22016 Waterloo Regional
Red194
205660.4
111456.0
591223.4
Blue134
403944.1
461835.2
373922.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19512350100150250300194134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#2
60.40.1
61.0→61.0
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
red by 16.3
4039
#9
44.10.1
44.5→44.4
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
1114
#1
56.00.1
56.6→56.6
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
red by 20.8
4618
#7
35.20.1
35.6→35.5
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
5912
#26
23.40.1
24.1→24.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 0.9
3739
#18
22.60.1
22.9→22.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3