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Red182
205668.6
91040.1
492026.6
Blue155
467851.0
130545.6
502428.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171168140150160180190200182155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.0
68.968.9
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 17.6
51.00.2
51.351.5
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
Second
910
#1
40.10.0
40.340.3
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
blue by 5.6
45.60.2
45.946.1
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
Third
4920
#21
26.60.0
26.926.9
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 2.2
5024
#16
28.90.2
29.129.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1