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Red145
205668.6
91040.1
492026.6
Blue192
467851.0
130545.6
502428.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170168150160180190145192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.3
69.168.9
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 17.6
51.00.4
50.951.3
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
Second
910
#1
40.10.3
40.540.3
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
blue by 5.6
45.60.4
45.545.9
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
Third
4920
#21
26.60.3
27.126.9
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 2.2
5024
#16
28.90.4
28.729.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1