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Red160
285234.4
491741.2
605220.8
Blue74
494636.6
136028.5
77233.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181245010015020016074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.4
41.441.8
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
red by 4.6
4946
#10
36.60.7
37.336.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End4.2
Second
2852
#11
34.40.4
34.534.9
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 0.8
772
#22
33.60.7
34.333.6
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
6052
#46
20.80.5
21.021.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End3.1
blue by 7.7
28.50.7
29.228.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1