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Red130
285234.4
491741.2
605220.8
Blue123
494636.6
136028.5
77233.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11812550100150200250130123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.0
41.441.4
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
red by 4.6
4946
#10
36.60.2
37.537.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End4.2
Second
2852
#11
34.40.0
34.634.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 0.8
772
#22
33.60.2
34.534.3
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
6052
#46
20.80.1
21.121.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End3.1
blue by 7.7
28.50.2
29.429.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1