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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red202
467851.0
130545.6
502428.9
Blue99
494035.0
220042.8
490332.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721315010015020025020299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#5
51.00.7
50.1→50.7
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
red by 8.2
2200
#9
42.80.8
43.6→42.8
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End13.9
Second
1305
#2
45.60.7
44.7→45.4
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
red by 10.6
4940
#23
35.00.8
35.8→35.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Third
5024
#16
28.90.7
27.9→28.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 3.8
4903
#31
32.61.0
33.6→32.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.8
End5.0