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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red111
467851.0
130545.6
502428.9
Blue111
494035.0
220042.8
490332.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17613250100150200250111111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#5
51.01.0
51.1→50.1
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
red by 8.2
2200
#9
42.80.5
44.1→43.6
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End13.9
Second
1305
#2
45.61.0
45.7→44.7
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
red by 10.6
4940
#23
35.00.5
36.3→35.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Third
5024
#16
28.91.0
28.9→27.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 3.8
4903
#31
32.60.7
34.3→33.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.8
End5.0