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Red176
467851.0
130545.6
502428.9
Blue97
285234.4
491741.2
605220.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1791095015020025017697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.0
50.950.9
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
red by 9.8
41.20.5
41.741.2
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Second
45.60.0
45.545.5
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
red by 11.3
2852
#11
34.40.5
34.834.4
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Third
5024
#16
28.90.0
28.728.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 8.1
6052
#46
20.80.6
21.420.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End3.1