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Red40
604621.0
616217.8
502428.9
Blue131
588528.4
491741.2
130545.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53103015040131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#16
28.91.2
24.523.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 16.8
45.62.5
44.647.1
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
Second
6046
#37
21.01.2
16.315.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End2.7
blue by 20.2
41.22.5
32.034.5
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Third
6162
#39
17.82.0
17.615.5
Auto1.8
Teleop12.6
End3.5
blue by 10.6
5885
#13
28.44.2
16.220.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned