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Red100
611021.9
494035.0
497636.9
Blue95
91040.1
136028.5
468822.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7476506070809010010095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.92.0
29.331.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
blue by 3.2
910
#1
40.11.5
32.534.0
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Second
4940
#23
35.01.8
31.533.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
red by 6.6
28.51.5
23.625.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
6110
#12
21.93.0
12.615.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End3.9
blue by 0.2
22.12.5
16.719.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned