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Red37
492314.9
223428.7
528822.0
Blue55
285234.4
491419.5
492112.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6162405070803755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#15
28.71.5
26.725.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
blue by 5.7
2852
#11
34.40.4
28.728.3
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
5288
#42
22.02.5
17.515.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 2.5
4914
#30
19.50.4
17.817.4
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Third
4923
#50
14.92.5
15.412.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End0.3
red by 2.3
4921
#36
12.60.6
14.013.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed