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Red47
375612.6
503925.8
133422.3
Blue54
67716.2
568913.4
260934.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565020801001204754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#33
25.80.0
16.816.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
blue by 8.3
2609
#27
34.11.4
30.729.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
1334
#26
22.30.0
16.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 6.2
677
#40
16.22.4
14.712.4
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
3756
#52
12.60.1
13.213.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 0.8
5689
#43
13.42.4
14.812.5
Auto0.9
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed